The late 19th century was a period of intense metamorphosis, primarily due to one of the most influential inventions in human history: Thomas Edison’s cost-effective and efficient lightbulb. This exceptional innovation revolutionized the world by democratizing access to light. Today, as we explore the labyrinth of artificial intelligence (AI), we find ourselves at a similar juncture. The recent rollout of large language models (LLMs) such as GPT-4 promises to substantially accelerate the adoption of AI tools into complex activities such as tax preparation, legal research, and website design. Initial studies of the impact of LLMs suggest that these innovations may improve white collar productivity by nearly 40 percent. (source: Noy, Zhang, 2023). While AI models have made remarkable advancements, they also demand substantial capital and energy, restricting their use to a privileged few. The future of AI hinges on adopting the principles of efficiency and accessibility, much like Edison did with his lightbulb.
While LLMs have shown astonishing prowess, their success hinges on the application of brute force. To illustrate, GPT-3, one of the most advanced LLMs, consists of 175 billion parameters, whereas its predecessor, GPT-2, houses 1.5 billion parameters. This staggering 116x increase in model size underscores the colossal scale of these models (source: OpenAI). Such an approach necessitates extensive computational resources and energy, inevitably limiting their accessibility. Training models akin to GPT-3 consume a substantial amount of energy. Strubell et al. (2019) estimated that training a single Transformer-based model, such as BERT or GPT, could generate up to 626,155 lbs (284 metric tons) of CO2 emissions, roughly equivalent to the lifetime emissions of five average American cars, including their manufacturing (source: “Energy and Policy Considerations for Deep Learning in NLP” by Strubell, Ganesh, & McCallum). Furthermore, the escalating resource requirements for incremental improvements raise serious questions about the sustainability of this method, and rightfully so.
When assessing the nature of innovation in AI, a critical question arises: are we genuinely pushing the boundaries of innovation, or are we merely shrouding it with capital-intensive smoke and mirrors? Although hurling resources at a problem might yield results, it also has the potential to conceal inefficiencies and create a mirage of progress.
We must set a lofty standard for AI innovation, focusing on unveiling new possibilities that are not dependent solely on vast computational resources, energy, and data. This entails the invention of new techniques, algorithms, and strategies that enable more efficient and accessible AI models. By highlighting sustainability and accessibility, we can encourage innovation that not only propels the field forward but also extends its benefits to a wider demographic and a diverse array of sectors.
To construct the luminary of AI, we must emphasize two core principles: efficiency and accessibility. Upholding these principles will democratize AI and ensure its sustainable progression.
Efficiency: It is crucial to champion leaner models and algorithms that demand fewer resources while maintaining, if not exceeding, current performance levels. This transformation will facilitate the creation of AI solutions that are less energy-intensive and more cost-effective, benefiting both the environment and the economy. An example of this is DeepDetection™, a novel architecture hosted by webAI that trains object detectors with far less data and compute requirements.
Accessibility: Just as Edison’s lightbulb altered the course of history by being affordable and widely available, AI should aspire to achieve the same objective. We need to cultivate tools and platforms that enable a wider population to reap the benefits of AI, regardless of their financial or technical prowess. This necessitates investing in open-source projects, user-friendly interfaces, and affordable hardware to eliminate the disparity between the AI elite and the general public.
As we stand on the precipice of the AI revolution, we must take a moment to look back, not to dwell in nostalgia, but to take lessons from our journey so far. Just like Edison’s lightbulb, the trajectory of AI should be defined not by the resources it exhausts, but by the brilliance it spreads, the problems it solves, and the lives it touches.
The story of AI shouldn’t just be one of massive capital expenditure and computational power. It should be one of efficiency and accessibility. It should be a story where we strive to make AI not an exclusive tool for a privileged few but a shared resource, a beacon that illuminates the world with knowledge and innovation.
To truly shape the future of AI, we must commit to a path that prioritizes efficiency, reduces our environmental footprint, and democratizes access to these transformative technologies. We must invest in research that fosters creative problem-solving and encourages the development of new algorithms and models that rely less on computational brute force and more on innovative design.
As a global tech leader and the epicenter of AI innovation, the United States can leverage its unique position to proactively steer AI toward a sustainable, efficient, and democratic future.
The U.S. Government is moving quickly to invest in responsible AI research and development while also setting up rules of road for ethical AI usage. In May 2023, the Biden administration announced a series of actions to invest in responsible and efficient AI solutions for the federal government while also educating the American people on the risks and opportunities of AI for their daily lives.
In the spirit of Edison, let us engineer the AI of tomorrow, not just to be bigger and more powerful, but to be better — for all of us. Let’s create the ‘luminary of AI’ that champions efficiency, privacy, accessibility, and, ultimately, brings enlightenment to every corner of our global society. Because in the end, the true measure of AI, like the lightbulb, will be its ability to positively impact the lives of people everywhere it reaches.
Remember, innovation is not just about creating something new or being first. It’s about making things better and more meaningful. So let’s keep pushing the boundaries, keep asking the tough questions, keep igniting the sparks of invention. And, just as great minds before us turned simple ideas into things like the lightbulb that lit up the world, let us turn our ideas into a luminary of AI that shines brightly into the future.